Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers Contrarian Point Spread Pick
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Icon-ok Green Bay Packers (-3.5) L

$100.00 Pick documented: Monday, 14 Oct 2019 7:16 PM

pick locked in 9 months ago


This bet was placed in the investment fund below   click to view

NFL 2019-2020 Fade The Public On Home Point Spreads

Fund balance: -$1,132.25


I am a contrarian robot that scans American events. My bets are designed to try to find the opposite of what the public is doing. I make my move when the public has driven the points to its maximum value right before a game.

The public drives a line in one direction and I make a move in the other. I follow these rules exactly:

1. I look for point spreads peaking within 1 hour of gametime.
2. When I see the number of points you can get peaking within an hour of game time I make a pick at this maximum value instantly.
3. I don't add on to the bet if the points improve even more.

This is a home team who's point spread is peaking. Green Bay Packers spread increased 1.0 points from the starting line. If you like Green Bay Packers it's good that you waited. The points your are getting has never been better and the game is starting soon.

This robot acts on the theory that always getting maximum value for your points spread bets must certainly be a good thing. If you would have bet on Green Bay Packers earlier the points you get with the bet would have been less.

This robot always gets maximum value on its bets. You can verify this by looking at the charts.

Click on the game and view the Green Bay Packers chart.












SPREAD MONEYLINE TOTAL
Convert?w=60&h=60&fit=clip Detroit Lions +3.5 +171.0 47.0
Convert?w=60&h=60&fit=clip Green Bay Packers -3.5 -171.0

This is the Consensus Fair Line.   what is the Fair Line?



Game time: Monday 10/14, 8:15 PM


Detroit Lions 22 FINAL
Green Bay Packers 23


Jump to Charts



Payout Information


points adjust ML Over/Under adjust
Detroit Lions +3.5 -105.0 +171.0 47.0 over 102.0
Green Bay Packers -3.5 105.0 -171.0 47.0 under -102.0

A $100 Moneyline bet on Detroit Lions +171.0 cashes for $271.00
A $100 Moneyline bet on Green Bay Packers -171.0 cashes for $158.48
A $100 Points Spread bet on Detroit Lions +3.5 cashes for $195.24
A $100 Points Spread bet on Green Bay Packers -3.5 cashes for $205.00
A $100 Over bet on the total points 47.0 cashes for $202.00
A $100 Under bet on the total points 47.0 cashes for $198.04




Line Moves For Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers

Monday 10/14, 8:15 PM EST


Convert?w=40&h=40&fit=clip Detroit Lions +171.0 Moneyline Moves


Detroit Lions MONEYLINE payout currently is $271.00 for a $100 bet. The best payout so far on a $100 MONEYLINE bet has been $334.00.

These MONEYLINE odds imply Detroit Lions a 37% chance of winning. If you think Detroit Lions chances of winning are better than 37% then betting Detroit Lions on the MONEYLINE would be a smart bet for you.






Convert?w=40&h=40&fit=clip Green Bay Packers -171.0 Moneyline Moves


Green Bay Packers MONEYLINE payout currently is $158.48 for a $100 bet. Green Bay Packers MONEYLINE payout has increased $15.38 versus when the moneyline first opened. The best payout so far on a $100 MONEYLINE bet has been $160.24.

These MONEYLINE odds imply Green Bay Packers a 63% chance of winning. If you think Green Bay Packers chances of winning are better than 63% then betting Green Bay Packers on the MONEYLINE would be a smart bet for you.






Convert?w=40&h=40&fit=clip Detroit Lions +3.5 Points Spread Line Moves


The best time to have taken the POINTS SPREAD so far with Detroit Lions was when the line was 6.5.






Convert?w=40&h=40&fit=clip Green Bay Packers -3.5 Points Spread Line Moves


With Green Bay Packers you're getting 1.0 more points now versus when the line first opened.

If you like Green Bay Packers with the POINTS SPREAD, there has never been a better time so far to bet it. Will the spread for Green Bay Packers get even better as the game gets closer is the question?






Convert?w=40&h=40&fit=clip Detroit Lions at
Convert?w=40&h=40&fit=clip Green Bay Packers Total Points +47.0 Line Moves


The TOTAL POINTS has moved up 0.5 points. The best time to take the UNDER was when the total was at 47.5. The best time to take the OVER was when the total was at 45.0.








When the moneyline is moving up it usually means

  • Most of the public is betting against that team and the oddsmakers are increasing the payout so more people will bet on them.

  • There could be an injury update or other information affecting that team negativly.

  • Whenever the moneyline is moving up you get paid more if you win.

When the moneyline is moving down it usually means

  • Most of the public is betting on this team and the oddsmakers are decreasing the payout.

  • There could be an injury update or other information affecting the team positively. This positive information decreases the payout for a win.


When the points spread is moving up it usually means

  • The public is betting on the other team and the oddsmakers are giving this team more points so people will bet on them.

  • There could be an injury update or other information affecting the team negativly. This negative information increases the payout for a win.


When the points spread is moving down it usually means

  • Most of the public is betting on this team and the oddsmakers are decreasing the points for that team.

  • There could be an injury update or other information affecting that team positively.


When the over/under is moving up it usually means

  • Most of the public is betting on a high score.

  • Conditions, player updates, etc. could be favoring more scoring.


When the over/under is moving down it usually means

  • The public is betting on a low scoring game.

  • Conditions, player updates, etc. could be favoring less scoring.





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